Prediction Forum · a forum on prediction markets
An in-person forum for anyone who wants to understand prediction markets. In one day you'll learn where a price comes from, how a first trade works and where beginners go wrong. Practitioners answer your questions, and you get to dive into the community.In one day you'll learn where a price comes from, how a first trade works and where beginners go wrong. Practitioners answer your questions.
Free entry, registration required
01What you get
A clear senseof where to start
- 01
Understand where a price comes from
How the market turns people's opinions into a probability, and why “Yes” at 64 cents means a 64% chance.
- 02
Walk through a first trade
With an example: what you buy, when the contract settles and what you risk.
- 03
Learn where beginners go wrong
Common mistakes of the first weeks and how to avoid them.
- 04
Be among your people
People who already work in this market. You ask the speakers in person, and the contacts stay with you after the forum.
After the forum you'll have a clear way in and people you can ask.
02How the day goes
Four stagesin one day
Doors open at 13:00, start at 14:00 local time.
03Who it's for
Right for anylevel of experience
Pick what's closest to you and see what you'll get at the forum.
We start from zero
What a price is, where it comes from and why this isn't sports betting.
04Dates and cities
13 citiesbehind.Five stops ahead
Already held
15 forumsin 13 cities
- AntalyaOctober 11–15
- Saint PetersburgOctober 3
- AstanaSeptember 26
- BishkekSeptember 19
- MoscowSeptember 12
- ChelyabinskAugust 22
- YekaterinburgAugust 15
- KazanAugust 8
- Naberezhnye ChelnyAugust 1
- AntalyaJuly 4
- AlanyaJune 27
- PhuketMay 14
- DubaiMay 9
- YekaterinburgApril 11
- TyumenApril 4
05Why now
The market is already bigand still growing.This is just the start
Chart of interest in the market: 2024 baseline, 2025 twice as high, 2026 eight times higher.
- $118 B
- contract volume in a single month on the two largest platforms
- defirate.com and artemis.ai, October 2026. Notional volume: each contract counts as $1
- $40 B
- the valuation investors gave the largest platform in the market
- cnbc.com, funding round of October 29, 2026
- ×8
- growth in public interest over two years
- Google Trends, worldwide, searches for the two largest platforms, yearly average. *2026: January–October
These are figures for the whole market, not anyone's personal results.
06Try it
This is whata first forecast looks like
On a prediction market, the price is the probability. Pick an event and move your estimate: at the forum we'll go through what to do with the gap between your view and the price.
Will the film of the year gross $2B?
price 64¢you 80%
Yes64¢
No36¢
You think the chance is higher than the price. On the market you would buy “Yes” for 64 cents. It does: the contract settles at $1. It doesn't: at 0.
An example for explanation, not a real market.
07Who runs it
Every forum is run bya specific community
Pr1me
Seven Lab
Origin One
Stars
MEGA TEAM
Alfa
KIN
08FAQ
What peopleusually ask
Participation is free, registration in advance is required.
Yes. You need to register in advance and apply for the forum. Applications are reviewed by the organizers.
Once your application is confirmed, you'll get a separate notification by email. We'll send the address once the venue is confirmed.
No. We start with the basics: what a price is and where it comes from. Those who already trade will have plenty to discuss with the speakers after the program.
Yes, but everyone needs to register.
Our support team. The contact will appear here before launch.
Registerfor the forum
One day, speakers with real experience and people who are already in this market. Free to attend, registration required.